UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C.


FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15 (d) OF THE
SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

Date of report (Date of earliest event reported) October 15, 2003

The Allstate Corporation
(Exact name of registrant as specified in charter)


Delaware

 

1-11840

 

36-3871531
(State or other jurisdiction
of incorporation)
  (Commission
file number)
  (IRS employer
identification number)

2775 Sanders Road, Northbrook, Illinois

 

60062
(Address of principal executive offices)   (Zip code)

Registrant's telephone number, including area code (847) 402-5000




Item 7.    Financial Statements and Exhibits

Item 9.    Regulation FD Disclosure

        The registrant is furnishing the information required by Item 12 of Form 8-K, "Results of Operations and Financial Condition," under this Item 9.

2



SIGNATURES

        Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized.


 

THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION
            (registrant)

 

By

/s/  
SAMUEL H. PILCH      
  Name: Samuel H. Pilch
Title: Controller

October 15, 2003

3



EXHIBIT INDEX

Exhibit
Number

  Description

99   Registrant's press release dated October 15, 2003

4




Exhibit 99

         GRAPHIC

For Immediate Release

Allstate Reports 2003 Third Quarter Net Income of $691 Million,
177% Increase in Net Income EPS,
25% Increase in Operating Income EPS

NORTHBROOK, Ill., October 15, 2003—The Allstate Corporation (NYSE: ALL) today reported for the third quarter of 2003:

Consolidated Highlights1

 
  Three Months Ended September 30,
   
 
   
   
  Change
(in millions, except per share amounts and ratios)

   
   
  Est. 2003
  2002
  $ Amt
  %
Consolidated revenues   $ 8,127   $ 7,239   888   12.3
Net income     691     248   443   178.6
Net income per diluted share     0.97     0.35   0.62   177.1
Operating income1     638     516   122   23.6
Operating income per diluted share1     0.91     0.73   0.18   24.7
Property-Liability combined ratio     95.9     98.1     (2.2) pts
Book value per diluted share     27.45     25.17   2.28   9.1


"This has been an outstanding quarter for Allstate," said Chairman, President and CEO Edward M. Liddy. "Our goal has been to drive consistent top line and bottom line growth, and we have clearly demonstrated our ability to do just that. This quarter marks the second in a row that we have shown stronger unit growth in our core businesses and each passing quarter yields additional evidence that we are strongly


1
Measures used in this release that are not based on generally accepted accounting principles ("non-GAAP") are defined and reconciled to the most directly comparable GAAP measure and operating measures are defined in the Definitions of Non-GAAP and Operating Measures section of this document.

1


positioned for long-term sustainable profitability and growth. In particular, our core Allstate brand standard auto and homeowners insurance lines policies in force showed overall positive unit growth compared to the second quarter, and new business growth in these two lines was especially strong. Standard auto and homeowners new business premiums written increased 33% and 55%, respectively over the third quarter of last year. The increase for standard auto is due in part to our new standard auto rating plan in the state of California, which is allowing us to be more competitive and to offer insurance to more consumers in the state. Our homeowners new business written premium reflects increases across the country. For both lines, in most markets we are competitively priced and have improving growth trends, which we expect to continue as we fully execute our marketing and advertising strategies.

"We remain disciplined about running our business as efficiently as possible and continue to pay close attention to expenses. Our strategy of better aligning our agency force with the goals of the company is proving effective and as we improve our profitability we will continue to reward our agents and share our success with them.

"We have been successful in seeking and gaining approvals for rate increases that support our projected loss cost trends and return targets and we remain committed to growing without sacrificing profitability. In September, we announced an agreement with the Texas Department of Insurance to take a rate decrease for homeowners insurance. We believe this to be an isolated situation that is largely driven by the uniqueness of that state's regulatory environment.

"During the quarter, Allstate Protection continued to benefit from better than expected auto and homeowners loss frequency and severity trends. Catastrophe losses were much higher this quarter, largely a result of losses suffered by our policyholders in the path of Hurricane Isabel in September and the severe weather in the Midwest in July. This is the nature of our business and thousands of Allstate agents and claim adjusters have been committed to restoring the lives of our customers during the quarter.

"As is our practice in the third quarter, we completed our annual comprehensive "ground up" review of Discontinued Lines and Coverages, resulting in strengthened reserves for our asbestos liabilities. We believe that our reserves are appropriately established based on assessments of all pertinent factors and assuming no change in the legal, legislative or economic environment. These reserve actions significantly improved our survival ratio to a level we consider a strong asbestos reserve position.

"Allstate Financial achieved record levels for premiums and deposits, reaching $4 billion in the quarter. Allstate Financial launched a new suite of registered fixed annuities, including an innovative equity indexed annuity, late in the third quarter. As with Allstate Protection, Allstate Financial is committed to growing the business while maintaining pricing and risk management discipline. Allstate Financial operating income, compared to third quarter of 2002, was up 21% to $135 million. The third quarter of 2002, however, included a charge for acceleration of deferred acquisition costs for certain investment and retirement products.

"We are very optimistic about the future of the business. Our strategy of becoming better and bigger in our protection business and broader in our ability to provide a range of financial services to middle America remains sound and we continue to successfully execute the strategy. Simply put—we very much like our competitive position in all our businesses and remain very focused on delivering sustainable results. We are confident in our ability to do just that."

2


Summary of Consolidated Results

 
  Three Months Ended
September 30,

  Nine Months Ended
September 30,

   
   
 
  Est.
2003

  2002
  Est.
2003

  2002
  Discussion of Results for the
Three Months Ended September 30

($ in millions, except per share amounts)

   
   
   

Consolidated revenues

 

$

8,127

 

$

7,239

 

$

23,887

 

$

21,992

 

<

 

Realized capital gains and higher Premiums earned in Property-Liability.

Operating income

 

 

638

 

 

516

 

 

1,910

 

 

1,457

 

<

 

Increased Property-Liability Underwriting income, after-tax of $93 and Allstate Financial Operating income of $23.

Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

 

62

 

 

(266

)

 

46

 

 

(437

)

<

 

See the Components of realized capital gains and losses (pretax) table.

Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax

 

 

(1

)

 


 

 

(1

)

 

(331

)

<

 

Adoption of FIN No. 46 for variable interest entities in 2003 and SFAS No. 142 for goodwill impairment in 2002.

Net income

 

 

691

 

 

248

 

 

1,944

 

 

687

 

<

 

Realized capital gains and higher operating income.

Net income per share (diluted)

 

 

0.97

 

 

0.35

 

 

2.75

 

 

0.97

 

 

 

 

Operating income per share (diluted)

 

 

0.91

 

 

0.73

 

 

2.71

 

 

2.05

 

<

 

Compared to First Call mean estimate of $0.88, with a range of $0.74 to $1.01.

Weighted average shares outstanding (diluted)

 

 

706.0

 

 

708.1

 

 

705.9

 

 

711.3

 

<

 

During the first nine months of 2003, Allstate purchased 3.26 million shares of its stock for $111.12 million, or an average cost per share of $34.03.

Return on equity

 

 

12.9

 

 

5.4

 

 

12.9

 

 

5.4

 

<

 

See the return on equity calculation in the Definitions of Non-GAAP and Operating Measures section of this document.

Operating income return on equity1

 

 

16.0

 

 

11.5

 

 

16.0

 

 

11.5

 

<

 

See the return on equity calculation in the Definitions of Non-GAAP and Operating Measures section of this document.

Book value per diluted share

 

 

27.45

 

 

25.17

 

 

27.45

 

 

25.17

 

<

 

At September 30, 2003 and 2002 unrealized gains and losses on fixed income securities, after-tax, totaling est. $2,478 and $2,307, respectively, represented $3.51 and $3.27, respectively, of book value per diluted share.

3


Property-Liability Highlights

 
  Three Months Ended
September 30,

  Nine Months Ended
September 30,

   
   
 
  Est.
2003

  2002
  Est.
2003

  2002
  Discussion of Results for the
Three Months Ended September 30

($ in millions, except ratios)

   
   
   

Property-Liability Premiums written

 

$

6,629

 

$

6,305

 

$

18,988

 

$

18,063

 

<

 

See the Property-Liability Premiums written by market segment table and the Property-Liability net rate changes approved table.

Property-Liability revenues

 

 

6,756

 

 

6,082

 

 

19,794

 

 

18,287

 

<

 

Premiums earned up $326 or 5.5% in the third quarter.

Underwriting income

 

 

255

 

 

111

 

 

849

 

 

133

 

<

 

Higher Premiums earned, continued favorable auto and homeowners frequencies and severities and favorable Allstate Protection prior year reserve reestimates, partially offset by higher Discontinued Lines and Coverages prior year reserve strengthening and catastrophes. See the Effect of pretax prior year reserve reestimates on the combined ratio table and the Discontinued Lines and Coverages Reserves section of this document.

Net investment income

 

 

417

 

 

429

 

 

1,242

 

 

1,256

 

<

 

Higher portfolio balances due to positive cash flows from operations, offset by lower yields and lower income from partnerships.

Operating income

 

 

533

 

 

430

 

 

1,647

 

 

1,139

 

<

 

Underwriting income after-tax up $93.

Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

 

70

 

 

(160

)

 

120

 

 

(240

)

<

 

See the Components of realized capital gains and losses (pretax) table.

Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax

 

 

(1

)

 


 

 

(1

)

 

(48

)

<

 

Adoption of FIN No. 46 for variable interest entities in 2003 and SFAS No. 142 for goodwill impairment in 2002.

Net income

 

 

603

 

 

270

 

 

1,769

 

 

856

 

<

 

Realized capital gains and higher operating income.

Catastrophe losses

 

 

378

 

 

96

 

 

1,077

 

 

494

 

<

 

Higher losses due to Hurricane Isabel in September and severe weather in the Midwest in July.

Ratios:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Property-Liability combined ratio

 

 

95.9

 

 

98.1

 

 

95.4

 

 

99.2

 

 

 

 

Effect of Discontinued Lines and Coverages

 

 

7.6

 

 

2.7

 

 

3.1

 

 

0.9

 

 

 

 

Allstate Protection combined ratio

 

 

88.3

 

 

95.4

 

 

92.3

 

 

98.3

 

 

 

 

Effect of catastrophe losses

 

 

6.1

 

 

1.6

 

 

5.9

 

 

2.8

 

 

 

 

4


Allstate Financial Highlights

 
  Three Months Ended
September 30,

  Nine Months Ended
September 30,

   
   
 
  Est.
2003

  2002
  Est.
2003

  2002
  Discussion of Results for the
Three Months Ended September 30

($ in millions)

   
   
   

Premiums and deposits

 

$

4,000

 

$

2,958

 

$

9,792

 

$

9,073

 

<

 

Strong sales across all products, with significant increases in institutional products and fixed annuities. See the Allstate Financial Premiums and deposits table.

Allstate Financial Revenues

 

 

1,358

 

 

1,142

 

 

4,051

 

 

3,657

 

<

 

Lower realized capital losses, higher net investment income and higher premiums and contract charges.

Operating income

 

 

135

 

 

112

 

 

348

 

 

398

 

<

 

DAC unlocking in 2002 and increased investment margin partially offset by lower mortality margin in 2003.

Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

 

(7

)

 

(103

)

 

(72

)

 

(192

)

<

 

See the Components of realized capital gains and losses (pretax) table.

Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax

 

 


 

 


 

 


 

 

(283

)

<

 

Adoption of SFAS No. 142 for goodwill impairment in 2002.

Net income

 

 

119

 

 

9

 

 

267

 

 

(77

)

<

 

Lower realized capital losses and higher operating income.

5



THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS

 
  Three Months Ended
September 30,

   
  Nine Months Ended
September 30,

   
 
($ in millions, except per share data)

  Est.
2003

  2002
  Percent
Change

  Est.
2003

  2002
  Percent
Change

 
Revenues                                  
Property-liability insurance premiums   $ 6,230   $ 5,904   5.5   $ 18,375   $ 17,411   5.5  
Life and annuity premiums and contract charges     538     512   5.1     1,710     1,632   4.8  
Net investment income     1,256     1,242   1.1     3,712     3,624   2.4  
Realized capital gains and losses     103     (419 ) (124.6 )   90     (675 ) (113.3 )
   
 
     
 
     
  Total revenues     8,127     7,239   12.3     23,887     21,992   8.6  
   
 
     
 
     
Costs and expenses                                  
Property-liability insurance claims and claims expense     4,506     4,391   2.6     13,184     13,253   (0.5 )
Life and annuity contract benefits     424     388   9.3     1,380     1,213   13.8  
Interest credited to contractholder funds     467     464   0.6     1,380     1,316   4.9  
Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs     1,015     966   5.1     2,989     2,777   7.6  
Operating costs and expenses     716     710   0.8     2,197     2,008   9.4  
Restructuring and related charges     19     40   (52.5 )   56     95   (41.1 )
Interest expense     70     67   4.5     204     204    
   
 
     
 
     
  Total costs and expenses     7,217     7,026   2.7     21,390     20,866   2.5  
   
 
     
 
     
(Loss) gain on disposition of operations     (12 )         (9 )   7    
Income from operations before income tax expense (benefit), dividends on preferred securities and cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after tax     898     213       2,488     1,133   119.6  
Income tax expense (benefit)     206     (37 )     538     108    
   
 
     
 
     
Income before dividends on preferred securities and cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after tax     692     250   176.8     1,950     1,025   90.2  
Dividends on preferred securities of subsidiary trust         (2 ) (100.0 )   (5 )   (7 ) (28.6 )
Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after tax     (1 )         (1 )   (331 ) (99.7 )
   
 
     
 
     
Net income   $ 691   $ 248   178.6   $ 1,944   $ 687   183.0  
   
 
     
 
     
Net income per share — Basic   $ 0.98   $ 0.35       $ 2.76   $ 0.97      
   
 
     
 
     
Weighted average shares — Basic     703.3     705.4         703.5     708.6      
   
 
     
 
     
Net income per share — Diluted   $ 0.97   $ 0.35       $ 2.75   $ 0.97      
   
 
     
 
     
Weighted average shares — Diluted     706.0     708.1         705.9     711.3      
   
 
     
 
     

6



THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION

CONTRIBUTION TO INCOME

 
  Three Months Ended
September 30,

   
  Nine Months Ended
September 30,

   
 
($ in millions, except per share data)

  Est.
2003

  2002
  Percent
Change

  Est.
2003

  2002
  Percent
Change

 
Contribution to income                                  
Operating income before the impact of restructuring and related charges   $ 650   $ 542   19.9   $ 1,946   $ 1,519   28.1  
Restructuring and related charges, after-tax     12     26   (53.8 )   36     62   (41.9 )
   
 
     
 
     
Operating income     638     516   23.6     1,910     1,457   31.1  

Realized capital gains and losses

 

 

62

 

 

(266

)

(123.3

)

 

46

 

 

(437

)

(110.5

)
(Loss) gain on disposition of operations     (8 )         (6 )   5    
Dividends on preferred securities of subsidiary trust         (2 ) (100.0 )   (5 )   (7 ) (28.6 )
Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle     (1 )         (1 )   (331 ) (99.7 )
   
 
     
 
     
Net income   $ 691   $ 248   178.6   $ 1,944   $ 687   183.0  
   
 
     
 
     
Income per share (Diluted)                                  

Operating income before the impact of restructuring and related charges

 

$

0.93

 

$

0.77

 

20.8

 

$

2.76

 

$

2.14

 

29.0

 

Restructuring and related charges, after-tax

 

 

0.02

 

 

0.04

 

(50.0

)

 

0.05

 

 

0.09

 

(44.4

)
   
 
     
 
     
Operating income     0.91     0.73   24.7     2.71     2.05   32.2  

Realized capital gains and losses

 

 

0.08

 

 

(0.38

)

(121.1

)

 

0.06

 

 

(0.62

)

(109.7

)
(Loss) gain on disposition of operations     (0.01 )         (0.01 )   0.01    
Dividends on preferred securities of subsidiary trust                   (0.01 ) (100.0 )
Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle     (0.01 )         (0.01 )   (0.46 ) (97.8 )
   
 
     
 
     
Net income   $ 0.97   $ 0.35   177.1   $ 2.75   $ 0.97   183.5  
   
 
     
 
     
Book value per share — Diluted   $ 27.45   $ 25.17   9.1   $ 27.45   $ 25.17   9.1  
   
 
     
 
     

7



THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION

COMPONENTS OF REALIZED CAPITAL GAINS AND LOSSES (PRETAX)

 
  Three Months Ended September 30, 2003 (Est.)
 
($ in millions)

  Property-
Liability

  Allstate
Financial

  Corporate
and Other

  Total
 
Valuation of derivative instruments   $ 1   $ 33   $   $ 34  
Settlements of derivative instruments     (10 )   6         (4 )
Sales     126     (16 )   (2 )   108  
Investment write-downs     (8 )   (26 )   (1 )   (35 )
   
 
 
 
 
  Total   $ 109   $ (3 ) $ (3 ) $ 103  
   
 
 
 
 
 
  Nine Months Ended September 30, 2003 (Est.)
 
($ in millions)

  Property-
Liability

  Allstate
Financial

  Corporate
and Other

  Total
 
Valuation of derivative instruments   $ 6   $ 11   $   $ 17  
Settlements of derivative instruments     (2 )   4         2  
Sales     254     48     (3 )   299  
Investment write-downs     (81 )   (146 )   (1 )   (228 )
   
 
 
 
 
  Total   $ 177   $ (83 ) $ (4 ) $ 90  
   
 
 
 
 

 


 

Three Months Ended September 30, 2002


 
($ in millions)

  Property-
Liability

  Allstate
Financial

  Corporate
and Other

  Total
 
Valuation of derivative instruments   $ (8 ) $ 3   $   $ (5 )
Settlements of derivative instruments     (97 )   (9 )       (106 )
Sales     (115 )   (51 )   1     (165 )
Investment write-downs     (31 )   (107 )   (5 )   (143 )
   
 
 
 
 
  Total   $ (251 ) $ (164 ) $ (4 ) $ (419 )
   
 
 
 
 

 


 

Nine Months Ended September 30, 2002


 
($ in millions)

  Property-
Liability

  Allstate
Financial

  Corporate
and Other

  Total
 
Valuation of derivative instruments   $ (32 ) $ (23 ) $   $ (55 )
Settlements of derivative instruments     (163 )   (6 )       (169 )
Sales     (109 )   (94 )       (203 )
Investment write-downs     (76 )   (165 )   (7 )   (248 )
   
 
 
 
 
  Total   $ (380 ) $ (288 ) $ (7 ) $ (675 )
   
 
 
 
 

8


THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION

SEGMENT RESULTS

 
  Three Months Ended
September 30,

  Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 
($ in millions)

  Est.
2003

  2002
  Est.
2003

  2002
 
Property-Liability                          
  Premiums written   $ 6,629   $ 6,305   $ 18,988   $ 18,063  
   
 
 
 
 
  Premiums earned   $ 6,230   $ 5,904   $ 18,375   $ 17,411  
  Claims and claims expense     4,506     4,391     13,184     13,253  
  Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs     905     814     2,590     2,399  
  Operating costs and expenses     546     548     1,697     1,532  
  Restructuring and related charges     18     40     55     94  
   
 
 
 
 
    Underwriting income     255     111     849     133  
   
 
 
 
 
  Net investment income     417     429     1,242     1,256  
  Income tax expense on operations     139     110     444     250  
   
 
 
 
 
  Operating income     533     430     1,647     1,139  
  Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax     70     (160 )   120     (240 )
  Gain on disposition of operations, after-tax     1         3     5  
  Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax     (1 )       (1 )   (48 )
   
 
 
 
 
  Net income   $ 603   $ 270   $ 1,769   $ 856  
   
 
 
 
 
  Catastrophe losses   $ 378   $ 96   $ 1,077   $ 494  
   
 
 
 
 
  Operating ratios                          
    Claims and claims expense ratio     72.3     74.4     71.8     76.1  
    Expense ratio     23.6     23.7     23.6     23.1  
   
 
 
 
 
    Combined ratio     95.9     98.1     95.4     99.2  
   
 
 
 
 
    Effect of catastrophe losses on combined ratio     6.1     1.6     5.9     2.8  
   
 
 
 
 
    Effect of restructuring and related charges on combined ratio     0.3     0.7     0.3     0.5  
   
 
 
 
 
    Effect of Discontinued Lines and Coverages on combined ratio     7.6     2.7     3.1     0.9  
   
 
 
 
 
Allstate Financial                          
  Premiums and deposits   $ 4,000   $ 2,958   $ 9,792   $ 9,073  
   
 
 
 
 
  Investments including Separate Accounts assets   $ 74,890   $ 65,082   $ 74,890   $ 65,082  
   
 
 
 
 
  Premiums and contract charges   $ 538   $ 512   $ 1,710   $ 1,632  
  Net investment income     823     794     2,424     2,313  
  Contract benefits     424     388     1,380     1,213  
  Interest credited to contractholder funds     467     464     1,380     1,316  
  Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs     104     158     368     380  
  Operating costs and expenses     169     159     498     472  
  Restructuring and related charges     1         1     1  
  Income tax expense on operations     61     25     159     165  
   
 
 
 
 
  Operating income     135     112     348     398  
  Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax     (7 )   (103 )   (72 )   (192 )
  Loss on disposition of operations, after-tax     (9 )       (9 )    
  Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax                 (283 )
   
 
 
 
 
  Net income (loss)   $ 119   $ 9   $ 267   $ (77 )
   
 
 
 
 
Corporate and Other                          
  Net investment income   $ 16   $ 19   $ 46   $ 55  
  Operating costs and expenses     71     69     206     208  
  Income tax benefit on operations     (25 )   (24 )   (75 )   (73 )
   
 
 
 
 
  Operating loss     (30 )   (26 )   (85 )   (80 )
  Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax     (1 )   (3 )   (2 )   (5 )
  Dividends on preferred securities of subsidiary trust         (2 )   (5 )   (7 )
   
 
 
 
 
  Net loss   $ (31 ) $ (31 ) $ (92 ) $ (92 )
   
 
 
 
 
Consolidated net income   $ 691   $ 248   $ 1,944   $ 687  
   
 
 
 
 

9



THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION

UNDERWRITING RESULTS BY AREA OF BUSINESS

 
  Three Months Ended
September 30,

   
  Nine Months Ended
September 30,

   
 
($ in millions)

  Est.
2003

  2002
  Percent
Change

  Est.
2003

  2002
  Percent
Change

 
Consolidated Underwriting Summary                                  
  Allstate Protection   $ 726   $ 269   169.9   $ 1,411   $ 301    
  Discontinued Lines and Coverages     (471 )   (158 ) 198.1     (562 )   (168 )  
   
 
     
 
     
    Underwriting income   $ 255   $ 111   129.7   $ 849   $ 133    
   
 
     
 
     
Allstate Protection Underwriting Summary                                  
  Premiums written   $ 6,627   $ 6,303   5.1   $ 18,978   $ 18,056   5.1  
   
 
     
 
     
  Premiums earned   $ 6,228   $ 5,902   5.5   $ 18,364   $ 17,403   5.5  
  Claims and claims expense     4,036     4,232   (4.6 )   12,618     13,082   (3.5 )
  Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs     905     814   11.2     2,590     2,399   8.0  
  Other costs and expenses     543     547   (0.7 )   1,690     1,527   10.7  
  Restructuring and related charges     18     40   (55.0 )   55     94   (41.5 )
    Underwriting income   $ 726   $ 269   169.9   $ 1,411   $ 301    
   
 
     
 
     
  Catastrophe losses   $ 378   $ 96     $ 1,077   $ 494   118.0  
   
 
     
 
     
  Operating ratios                                  
    Claims and claims expense ratio     64.8     71.7         68.7     75.2      
    Expense ratio     23.5     23.7         23.6     23.1      
   
 
     
 
     
    Combined ratio     88.3     95.4         92.3     98.3      
   
 
     
 
     
  Effect of catastrophe losses on combined ratio     6.1     1.6         5.9     2.8      
   
 
     
 
     
  Effect of restructuring and related charges on combined ratio     0.3     0.7         0.3     0.5      
   
 
     
 
     
Discontinued Lines and Coverages
    Underwriting Summary
                                 
  Premiums written   $ 2   $ 2     $ 10   $ 7   42.9  
   
 
     
 
     
  Premiums earned   $ 2   $ 2     $ 11   $ 8   37.5  
  Claims and claims expense     470     159   195.6     566     171    
  Other costs and expenses     3     1       7     5   40.0  
   
 
     
 
     
    Underwriting loss   $ (471 ) $ (158 ) 198.1   $ (562 ) $ (168 )  
   
 
     
 
     
  Effect of Discontinued Lines and Coverages on the Property-Liability combined ratio     7.6     2.7         3.1     0.9      
   
 
     
 
     
Note:
Discontinued Lines and Coverages third quarter 2003 incurred losses include reserve strengthening recorded in conjunction with the Company's annual comprehensive "ground-up" review of the segment's reserve adequacy. Detailed information regarding the review can be found in the Discontinued Lines and Coverages section of this document.

10



THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION

PROPERTY-LIABILITY PREMIUMS WRITTEN BY MARKET SEGMENT

 
  Three Months Ended
September 30,

   
  Nine Months Ended
September 30,

   
 
($ in millions)

  Est.
2003

  2002
  Percent
Change

  Est.
2003

  2002
  Percent
Change

 
ALLSTATE BRAND                                  
  Standard auto   $ 3,515   $ 3,314   6.1   $ 10,216   $ 9,650   5.9  
  Non-standard auto     491     584   (15.9 )   1,520     1,813   (16.2 )
  Involuntary auto     60     54   11.1     179     151   18.5  
  Commercial lines     210     191   9.9     639     580   10.2  
  Homeowners     1,467     1,327   10.6     3,874     3,480   11.3  
  Other personal lines     350     330   6.1     1,005     942   6.7  
   
 
     
 
     
      6,093     5,800   5.1     17,433     16,616   4.9  

IVANTAGE

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
  Standard auto     315     314   0.3     925     919   0.7  
  Non-standard auto     42     36   16.7     128     80   60.0  
  Involuntary auto     10     3       30     5    
  Homeowners     139     128   8.6     387     368   5.2  
  Other personal lines     28     22   27.3     75     68   10.3  
   
 
     
 
     
      534     503   6.2     1,545     1,440   7.3  
   
 
     
 
     

ALLSTATE PROTECTION

 

 

6,627

 

 

6,303

 

5.1

 

 

18,978

 

 

18,056

 

5.1

 

DISCONTINUED LINES AND COVERAGES

 

 

2

 

 

2

 


 

 

10

 

 

7

 

42.9

 
   
 
     
 
     
PROPERTY-LIABILITY   $ 6,629   $ 6,305   5.1   $ 18,988   $ 18,063   5.1  
   
 
     
 
     

11



THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION

PROPERTY-LIABILITY NET RATE CHANGES APPROVED

 
  Three Months Ended
September 30, 2003

  Nine Months Ended
September 30, 2003

 
  # of
States

  Weighted Average
Rate Change (%)

  # of
States

  Weighted Average
Rate Change (%)

ALLSTATE BRAND                
  Standard auto   6   4.0   23   6.0
  Non-standard auto   8   11.2   13   8.4
  Homeowners   8   (1.2 ) 19   1.5

IVANTAGE

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
  Standard auto (Encompass)   13   8.4   40   8.1
  Non-standard auto (Deerbrook)   5   1.8   12   6.8
  Homeowners (Encompass)   16   9.8   40   11.7
Note:
Rate increases that are indicated based on a loss trend analysis to achieve a targeted return, will continue to be pursued in all locations and for all products.

12



THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION

ALLSTATE PROTECTION MARKET SEGMENT ANALYSIS

 
  Three Months Ended September 30,
($ in millions)

  Est. 2003
  2002
  Est. 2003
  2002
  Est. 2003
  2002
  Est. 2003
  2002
 
  Premiums Earned
  Loss Ratio
  Loss Ratio
Excluding the Effect
of Catastrophe Losses

  Expense Ratio
ALLSTATE BRAND                                    
  Standard auto   $ 3,392   $ 3,203   65.7   72.8   64.8   72.7        
  Non-standard auto     507     599   55.0   68.3   54.2   68.1        
  Homeowners     1,242     1,091   59.7   71.1   37.4   64.4        
  Other     586     543   71.2   66.1   65.4   63.9        
   
 
                       
   
Total Allstate brand

 

 

5,727

 

 

5,436

 

64.0

 

71.3

 

58.0

 

69.7

 

23.2

 

22.9

IVANTAGE

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
  Standard auto     299     298   68.6   74.8   67.6   74.5        
  Non-standard auto     44     26   84.1   130.8   84.1   130.8        
  Homeowners     124     118   83.9   73.7   58.1   67.8        
  Other     34     24   73.5   54.2   73.5   54.2        
   
 
                       
   
Total Ivantage

 

 

501

 

 

466

 

74.1

 

76.6

 

67.1

 

74.9

 

27.9

 

33.5
   
 
                       

ALLSTATE PROTECTION

 

$

6,228

 

$

5,902

 

64.8

 

71.7

 

58.7

 

70.1

 

23.5

 

23.7
   
 
                       

 


 

Nine Months Ended September 30,

($ in millions)

  Est. 2003
  2002
  Est. 2003
  2002
  Est. 2003
  2002
  Est. 2003
  2002
 
  Premiums Earned
  Loss Ratio
  Loss Ratio
Excluding the Effect
of Catastrophe Losses

  Expense Ratio
ALLSTATE BRAND                                    
  Standard auto   $ 9,960   $ 9,448   70.4   74.2   68.6   73.5        
  Non-standard auto     1,589     1,844   67.7   73.2   66.8   72.9        
  Homeowners     3,623     3,139   61.7   80.6   42.4   70.1        
  Other     1,721     1,595   70.3   70.5   64.4   67.6        
   
 
                       
   
Total Allstate brand

 

 

16,893

 

 

16,026

 

68.3

 

74.9

 

62.4

 

72.2

 

23.1

 

22.3

IVANTAGE

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
  Standard auto     894     896   72.0   76.1   71.1   75.3        
  Non-standard auto     120     57   83.3   117.5   83.3   117.5        
  Homeowners     367     350   77.9   85.7   57.8   73.4        
  Other     90     74   61.1   29.7   57.8   27.0        
   
 
                       
   
Total Ivantage

 

 

1,471

 

 

1,377

 

73.8

 

77.8

 

68.0

 

74.0

 

29.2

 

32.7
   
 
                       

ALLSTATE PROTECTION

 

$

18,364

 

$

17,403

 

68.7

 

75.2

 

62.8

 

72.4

 

23.6

 

23.1
   
 
                       
Note:
Other includes involuntary auto, commercial lines and other personal lines.

13



THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION

PROPERTY-LIABILITY

EFFECT OF PRETAX PRIOR YEAR RESERVE REESTIMATES ON THE COMBINED RATIO

 
  Three Months Ended September 30,
 
 
  Pretax
Reserve Reestimates

  Effect of Pretax Reserve Reestimates on the Combined Ratio
 
($ in millions)

  Est.
2003

  2002
  Est.
2003

  Change
 
Auto   $ (139 ) $ (78 ) (2.3 ) (1.0 )
Homeowners     (32 )   106   (0.5 ) (2.3 )
Other     31     6   0.5   0.4  
   
 
 
 
 
  Allstate Protection     (140 )   34   (2.3 ) (2.9 )
 
Discontinued Lines and Coverages

 

 

471

 

 

159

 

7.6

 

4.9

 
   
 
 
 
 
   
Property-Liability

 

$

331

 

$

193

 

5.3

 

2.0

 
   
 
 
 
 

Allstate Brand

 

$

(138

)

$

3

 

(2.2

)

(2.3

)
Ivantage     (2 )   31   (0.1 ) (0.6 )
   
 
 
 
 

Allstate Protection

 

$

(140

)

$

34

 

(2.3

)

(2.9

)
   
 
 
 
 

 


 

Nine Months Ended September 30,


 
 
  Pretax Reserve Reestimates
  Effect of Pretax Reserve Reestimates on the Combined Ratio
 
($ in millions)

  Est.
2003

  2002
  Est.
2003

  Change
 
Auto   $ (177 ) $ 9   (1.0 ) (1.1 )
Homeowners     (17 )   339   (0.1 ) (2.0 )
Other     52     35   0.3   0.1  
   
 
 
 
 
 
Allstate Protection

 

 

(142

)

 

383

 

(0.8

)

(3.0

)
 
Discontinued Lines and Coverages

 

 

566

 

 

171

 

3.1

 

2.1

 
   
 
 
 
 
   
Property-Liability

 

$

424

 

$

554

 

2.3

 

(0.9

)
   
 
 
 
 

Allstate Brand

 

$

(164

)

$

352

 

(0.9

)

(2.9

)
Ivantage     22     31   0.1   (0.1 )
   
 
 
 
 

Allstate Protection

 

$

(142

)

$

383

 

(0.8

)

(3.0

)
   
 
 
 
 
Note:
Allstate Protection third quarter 2003 reserve reestimates include the impact of better than expected auto injury severity development and the release of $38 million of IBNR reserves due to lower than anticipated losses in Texas related to mold claims.

Note:
Discontinued Lines and Coverages third quarter 2003 pretax reserve reestimates include reserve strengthening recorded in conjunction with the Company's annual comprehensive "ground-up" review of the segment's reserve adequacy. Detailed information regarding the review can be found in the Discontinued Lines and Coverages section of this document.

14



THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION

ALLSTATE FINANCIAL PREMIUMS AND DEPOSITS

 
  Three Months Ended
September 30,

   
  Nine Months Ended
September 30,

   
 
($ in millions)

  Est.
2003

  2002
  Percent
Change

  Est.
2003

  2002
  Percent
Change

 
Life Products                                  
  Interest-sensitive life   $ 272   $ 244   11.5   $ 767   $ 747   2.7  
  Traditional     105     100   5.0     284     288   (1.4 )
  Other     166     149   11.4     470     427   10.1  
   
 
     
 
     
    Subtotal     543     493   10.1     1,521     1,462   4.0  

Annuities

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
  Fixed annuities — deferred     1,471     1,395   5.4     3,751     3,170   18.3  
  Fixed annuities — immediate     174     138   26.1     617     491   25.7  
  Variable annuities     621     609   2.0     1,555     1,805   (13.9 )
   
 
     
 
     
    Subtotal     2,266     2,142   5.8     5,923     5,466   8.4  

Institutional Products

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
  Indexed funding agreements     125     100   25.0     390     275   41.8  
  Funding agreements backing medium-term notes     949     85       1,667     1,462   14.0  
  Other     3           7     39   (82.1 )
   
 
     
 
     
    Subtotal     1,077     185       2,064     1,776   16.2  

Bank Deposits

 

 

114

 

 

138

 

(17.4

)

 

284

 

 

369

 

(23.0

)
   
 
     
 
     

Total

 

$

4,000

 

$

2,958

 

35.2

 

$

9,792

 

$

9,073

 

7.9

 
   
 
     
 
     

15



THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF FINANCIAL POSITION

(in millions, except par value data)

  September 30,
2003 (Est.)

  Dec. 31,
2002

 
Assets              
Investments              
  Fixed income securities, at fair value (amortized cost $79,634 and $72,123)   $ 85,222   $ 77,152  
  Equity securities, at fair value (cost $3,886 and $3,223)     4,744     3,683  
  Mortgage loans     6,426     6,092  
  Short-term     3,526     2,215  
  Other     1,581     1,508  
   
 
 
    Total investments     101,499     90,650  

Cash

 

 

247

 

 

462

 
Premium installment receivables, net     4,455     4,075  
Deferred policy acquisition costs     4,610     4,385  
Reinsurance recoverables, net     3,113     2,883  
Accrued investment income     1,033     946  
Property and equipment, net     1,049     989  
Goodwill     930     927  
Other assets     1,149     984  
Separate Accounts     12,177     11,125  
   
 
 
    Total assets   $ 130,262   $ 117,426  
   
 
 

Liabilities

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
Reserve for property-liability insurance claims and claims expense   $ 17,681   $ 16,690  
Reserve for life-contingent contract benefits     10,903     10,256  
Contractholder funds     45,522     40,751  
Unearned premiums     9,260     8,578  
Claim payments outstanding     685     739  
Other liabilities and accrued expenses     9,640     7,150  
Deferred income taxes     656     259  
Short-term debt         279  
Long-term debt     4,378     3,961  
Separate Accounts     12,177     11,125  
   
 
 
    Total liabilities     110,902     99,788  
   
 
 

Mandatorily Redeemable Preferred Securities of Subsidiary Trust

 

 


 

 

200

 

Shareholders' equity

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
Preferred stock, $1 par value, 25 million shares authorized, none issued          
Common stock, $.01 par value, 2.0 billion shares authorized and 900 million issued, 703 million and 702 million shares outstanding     9     9  
Additional capital paid-in     2,612     2,599  
Retained income     21,043     19,584  
Deferred compensation expense     (214 )   (178 )
Treasury stock, at cost (197 million and 198 million shares)     (6,291 )   (6,309 )
Accumulated other comprehensive income:              
  Unrealized net capital gains and losses and net gains and losses on derivative financial instruments     3,037     2,602  
  Unrealized foreign currency translation adjustments     (16 )   (49 )
  Minimum pension liability adjustment     (820 )   (820 )
   
 
 
    Total accumulated other comprehensive income     2,201     1,733  
   
 
 
    Total shareholders' equity     19,360     17,438  
   
 
 
    Total liabilities and shareholders' equity   $ 130,262   $ 117,426  
   
 
 

16


Discontinued Lines and Coverages Reserves

        During the third quarter, we completed our annual comprehensive "ground up" review of reserves for the Discontinued Lines and Coverages segment. Reserve reestimates are recorded in the reporting period in which they are determined. This review employed established industry and actuarial best practices within the context of the legal, legislative and economic environment.

        Our net asbestos reserves by type of exposure and total reserve additions by quarter and year-to-date are shown in the following table.

 
  September 30, 2003
  December 31, 2002
 
($ in millions)

  Number of Active Policyholders
  Est. Net Asbestos Reserves
  % of Asbestos Reserves
  Number of Active Policyholders
  Net Asbestos Reserves**
  % of Asbestos Reserves**
 
Direct policyholders                              
-Primary   49   $ 30   3 % 40   $ 16   2 %
-Excess   274     208   19   240     87   14  
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total direct policyholders   323     238   22 % 280     103   16 %
Assumed reinsurance         191   17         173   27  
Incurred but not reported claims ("IBNR")         673   61         359   57  
       
 
     
 
 
Total net reserves       $ 1,102   100 %     $ 635   100 %

Reserve additions

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
First Quarter       $ 34           $      
Second Quarter         38                  
Third Quarter         442             121      
       
         
     
Nine months ended September 30       $ 514           $ 121      

Survival ratio excluding commutations, policy buy-backs and settlement agreements as of December 31, 2002

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
Current year         19.1 *           10.3      
Three year average         23.3 *           12.5      
*
For these calculations, est. reserve additions of $514 million have been added to the $635 million of asbestos reserves at December 31, 2002 to facilitate an updated calculation of survival ratios with comparable, annual financial data.

**
To conform to the current year presentation, $8 million of asbestos reserves at December 31, 2002 has been reclassified from direct excess insurance policyholders to direct primary insurance policyholders.

        During the first nine months of 2003, 65 direct primary and excess policyholders reported new claims, and claims of 22 policyholders' were closed, so that the number of direct policyholders with active claims increased by 43.

        Reserve additions for asbestos in the third quarter of 2003, totaling est. $442 million, were primarily for products-related coverage. This increase essentially was a result of more claimants being reported by excess insurance policyholders with existing active claims and new claims being reported in our assumed reinsurance business. This trend is consistent with the trends of other carriers in the industry. We believe it is related to increased publicity and awareness of coverage, ongoing litigation, potential congressional activity and bankruptcy actions. Reserve additions for asbestos for the nine-months ended September 30, 2003, totaled est. $514 million.

17



85% of the assumed reinsurance reserves are for small participations in excess of loss reinsurance programs of other carriers. The remainder result from pro-rata reinsurance. Many of the same insureds that have reported claims to us on their direct excess insurance coverages have also reported claims to carriers included in our assumed reinsurance exposure. The number of reported new claims is shown in the following table.

 
  Nine months ended September 30, 2003
  Year ended December 31, 2002
  Year ended December 31, 2001
New Claims*   206   197   182
*
New claims are defined as the aggregate number of policyholders with claims reported by all ceding companies.

Increased net reserves for IBNR of est. $314 million were in anticipation of continued claims activity. IBNR now represents 61% of total asbestos reserves, 4 points higher than at December 31, 2002. IBNR reserves are estimated to provide for probable future unfavorable reserve development of known claims and future reporting of additional unknown claims from current and new direct active policyholders and ceding companies.

        Our exposure to non-products-related losses represents approximately 5% of total reserves. We do not anticipate significant changes in this percentage as insureds' retentions associated with excess insurance programs, which are our principal direct insurance, and assumed reinsurance exposure are seldom exceeded. We did not write direct primary insurance on policyholders with the potential for significant non-products-related loss exposure.

        Liability for actual and potential asbestos losses has caused a number of companies to file for bankruptcy protection. Of 63 companies with significant asbestos exposure, all but one of which are in bankruptcy, on a direct basis, we:

        Although we do not believe a greater exposure is probable for the remaining 3, our maximum additional exposure to full policy limits for the remaining 3 in the aggregate is est. $26 million after-tax.

        Reserves related to asbestos manufacturers in bankruptcy, whose claims are still in the process of resolution, are established based on claims that have occurred and other related information. We also establish reserves for assumed reinsurance written by another carrier on these manufacturers in proportion to our participation share in the reinsurance agreements. The claim resolution process in these bankruptcies is lengthy and involves, among other factors, filing notices of claim by all current claimants, evaluating pre-petition and post-petition claims, negotiations among the various creditor groups and the debtors and, if necessary, evidentiary hearings by the bankruptcy court. Management will continue to monitor the relevant bankruptcies.

18


        Our pending, new, total closed and closed without payment claims for asbestos since December 31, 2002 are summarized in the following table:

Number of Asbestos Claims

Pending as of December 31, 2002   6,900
New   1,973
Total closed   852
   
Pending as of September 30, 2003   8,021
   
Closed without payment   556
   

        The changes in claim counts may not correlate directly to the change in recorded reserves because estimated net loss reserves for asbestos are subject to uncertainties that are greater than those presented by other types of claims as described in the Company's Form 10-K dated December 31, 2002.

        To further limit our asbestos exposure, we have purchased significant reinsurance, primarily to reduce our exposure to loss in our direct excess insurance business. Our reserves recoverable from reinsurers are estimated to be approximately 32.1% of our gross estimated losses, after a reduction for known reinsurer insolvencies.

        Our three-year average survival ratio, as updated above, is viewed to be a more representative prospective measure of current reserve adequacy than other survival ratio calculations. Now at 23.3 years as of December 31, 2002, our survival ratio is at a level we consider a strong asbestos reserve position. A one-year increase in the three-year average asbestos survival ratio at December 31, 2002 would require an after-tax increase in reserves of approximately $31 million.

        In addition to asbestos reserve actions taken in the quarter, we also increased the allowance for future uncollectible reinsurance by est. $14.1 million, reserves for environmental exposure by est. $0.4 million and other discontinued lines and coverages reserves by est. $8.4 million.

        We believe that our reserves are appropriately established based on assessments of pertinent factors and characteristics of exposure (e.g. claim activity, potential liability, jurisdiction, products versus non-products exposure) presented by individual policyholders, assuming no change in the legal, legislative or economic environment. Another comprehensive "ground up" review will be completed in the third quarter next year, as well as assessments each quarter to determine if any intervening significant events or developments require an interim adjustment to reserves.

Definitions of Non-GAAP and Operating Measures

        We believe that investors' understanding of Allstate's performance is enhanced by our disclosure of the following non-GAAP financial measures. Our method of calculating these measures may differ from those used by other companies and therefore comparability may be limited.

        Operating income is Income before dividends on preferred securities and the cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax, excluding the effects of Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax, and (Loss) gain on disposition of operations, after-tax. Upon the adoption of Financial Accounting Standards Board Interpretation No. 46 on July 1, 2003, Operating income is defined as Income before the cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax, excluding the effects of Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax, and (Loss) gain on disposition of operations, after-tax. In our operating income computation, the net effect of Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax, includes Allstate Financial's DAC amortization only to the extent that it resulted from the recognition of Realized capital gains and losses. Net income is the most directly comparable GAAP measure.

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        We use this measure to evaluate our results of operations and as an integral component for incentive compensation. It reveals trends in our insurance and financial services business that may be obscured by the net effect of Realized capital gains and losses and (Loss) gain on disposition of operations. These items may vary significantly between periods and are generally driven by business decisions and economic developments such as market conditions, the timing of which is unrelated to the insurance underwriting process. Therefore, we believe it is useful for investors to evaluate these components separately and in the aggregate when reviewing our performance. We note that the price to earnings multiple commonly used by insurance investors as a forward-looking valuation technique uses operating income as the denominator. Operating income should not be considered as a substitute for Net income and does not reflect the overall profitability of our business.

        The following tables reconcile Operating income and Net income for the third quarter and first nine months of 2003 and 2002.

For the three months ended September 30,

 
  Property-Liability
  Allstate Financial
  Consolidated
  Per diluted share
 
($ in millions, except per share data)

  Est.
2003

  2002
  Est.
2003

  2002
  Est.
2003

  2002
  Est.
2003

  2002
 
Operating income   $ 533   $ 430   $ 135   $ 112   $ 638   $ 516   $ 0.91   $ 0.73  

Realized capital gains and losses

 

 

109

 

 

(251

)

 

(3

)

 

(164

)

 

103

 

 

(419

)

 

 

 

 

 

 
Reclassification of DAC amortization             (6 )   5     (6 )   5              
Income tax benefit (expense)     (39 )   91     2     56     (35 )   148              
   
 
 
 
 
 
             
Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax     70     (160 )   (7 )   (103 )   62     (266 )   0.08     (0.38 )
(Loss) gain on disposition of operations, after-tax     1         (9 )       (8 )       (0.01 )    
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Income before dividends on preferred securities and cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax     604     270     119     9     692     250     0.98     0.35  
Dividends on preferred securities of subsidiary trust(s), after-tax                         (2 )        
Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax     (1 )               (1 )       (0.01 )    
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net income (loss)   $ 603   $ 270   $ 119   $ 9   $ 691   $ 248   $ 0.97   $ 0.35  
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

For the nine months ended September 30,

 
  Property-Liability
  Allstate Financial
  Consolidated
  Per diluted share
 
($ in millions, except per share data)

  Est.
2003

  2002
  Est.
2003

  2002
  Est.
2003

  2002
  Est.
2003

  2002
 
Operating income   $ 1,647   $ 1,139   $ 348   $ 398   $ 1,910   $ 1,457   $ 2.71   $ 2.05  

Realized capital gains and losses

 

 

177

 

 

(380

)

 

(83

)

 

(288

)

 

90

 

 

(675

)

 

 

 

 

 

 
Reclassification of DAC amortization             (31 )   2     (31 )   2              
Income tax benefit (expense)     (57 )   140     42     94     (13 )   236              
   
 
 
 
 
 
             
Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax     120     (240 )   (72 )   (192 )   46     (437 )   0.06     (0.62 )
(Loss) gain on disposition of operations, after-tax     3     5     (9 )       (6 )   5     (0.01 )   0.01  
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Income before dividends on preferred securities and cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax     1,770     904     267     206     1,950     1,025     2.76     1.44  
Dividends on preferred securities of subsidiary trust(s), after-tax                     (5 )   (7 )       (0.01 )
Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax     (1 )   (48 )       (283 )   (1 )   (331 )   (0.01 )   (0.46 )
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net income (loss)   $ 1,769   $ 856   $ 267   $ (77 ) $ 1,944   $ 687   $ 2.75   $ 0.97  
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

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        In this press release, we provide guidance on operating income per diluted share for 2003 (excluding restructuring and related charges and assuming a level of average expected catastrophe losses used in pricing for the remainder of the year). A reconciliation of this measure to Net income is not accessible on a forward-looking basis because it is not possible to provide a reliable forecast of Realized capital gains and losses, which can vary substantially from one period to another and may have a significant impact on Net income. Because a forecast of Realized capital gains and losses is not accessible, neither is a forecast of the effects of Realized capital gains and losses on DAC amortization and income taxes. We estimate that the year-end 2003 restructuring and related charges will be $0.05 per diluted share. The other reconciling items between Operating income and Net income on a forward-looking basis are (Loss) gain on disposition of operations after-tax and Cumulative effect of changes in accounting principle, which we assume to be zero for the remainder of 2003.

        Underwriting income (loss) is Premiums earned, less Claims and claims expense ("losses"), Amortization of DAC, Operating costs and expenses and Restructuring and related charges as determined using GAAP. Management uses this measure in its evaluation of results of operations to analyze the profitability of our Property-Liability insurance operations separately from investment results. It is also an integral component of incentive compensation. We believe it is useful for investors to evaluate the components of income separately and in the aggregate when reviewing our performance. Underwriting income (loss) should not be considered as a substitute for Net income and does not reflect the overall profitability of our business. Net income is the most directly comparable GAAP measure. A reconciliation of Property-Liability Underwriting income to Net income is provided in the Segment Results table.

        Operating income return on equity is a ratio found useful by investors that uses a non-GAAP measure. It is calculated by dividing the rolling 12-month operating income by the average of the beginning and end of the 12-month period shareholders' equity after excluding the after-tax effect of unrealized net capital gains. We use it to supplement our evaluation of net income and return on equity and because investors often use this measure when evaluating the performance of insurers. Moreover, it enhances investor understanding by eliminating the after-tax effects of realized and unrealized capital gains and losses and the cumulative effect of changes in accounting, which can fluctuate significantly. Return on Equity is the most directly comparable GAAP measure. The following table shows the two computations.

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  For the twelve months ended
September 30,

($ in millions)

  Est. 2003
  2002
Return on equity            
Numerator:            
  Net income   $ 2,391   $ 951
   
 
Denominator:            
  Beginning shareholders' equity     17,766     17,293
  Ending shareholders' equity     19,360     17,766
  Average shareholders' equity   $ 18,563   $ 17,530
   
 
ROE     12.9     5.4
   
 
Operating income return on equity            
Numerator:            
  Operating income   $ 2,528   $ 1,766
   
 
Denominator:            
  Beginning shareholders' equity     17,766     17,293
  Unrealized net capital gains     2,446     1,905
   
 
  Adjusted beginning shareholders' equity     15,320     15,388
  Ending shareholders' equity     19,360     17,766
  Unrealized net capital gains     3,037     2,446
   
 
  Adjusted ending shareholders' equity     16,323     15,320
  Average shareholders' equity   $ 15,822   $ 15,354
   
 
Operating income ROE     16.0     11.5
   
 

Operating Measures

        We believe that investors' understanding of Allstate's performance is enhanced by our disclosure of the following operating financial measures. Our method of calculating these measures may differ from that used by other companies and therefore comparability may be limited.

        Premiums written is the amount of premiums charged for policies issued during a fiscal period. Premiums earned is a GAAP measure. Premiums are considered earned and are included in financial results on a pro-rata basis over the policy period. The portion of premiums written applicable to the unexpired terms of the policies is recorded as Unearned premiums on our Consolidated Statements of Financial Position.

        The following table presents a reconciliation of premiums written to premiums earned.

 
  Three Months Ended
September 30,

  Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 
($ in millions)

  Est.
2003

  2002
  Est.
2003

  2002
 
Premiums written   $ 6,629   $ 6,305   $ 18,988   $ 18,063  
(Increase) decrease in Unearned Premiums     (421 )   (397 )   (669 )   (654 )
Other     22     (4 )   56     2  
   
 
 
 
 
Premiums earned   $ 6,230   $ 5,904   $ 18,375   $ 17,411  
   
 
 
 
 

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        Premiums and deposits is an operating measure that we use to analyze production trends for Allstate Financial sales. It includes premiums on insurance policies and annuities and all deposits and other funds received from customers on deposit-type products including the net new deposits of Allstate Bank, which we account for under GAAP as increases to liabilities rather than as revenue.

        The following table illustrates where Premiums and deposits are reflected in the consolidated financial statements.

 
  Three Months Ended
September 30,

  Nine Months Ended
September 30,

($ in millions)

  Est.
2003

  2002
  Est.
2003

  2002
GAAP premiums*   $ 309   $ 284   $ 1,018   $ 940
Deposits to contractholder funds, separate accounts and other     3,691     2,674     8,774     8,133
   
 
 
 
Total Premiums and deposits   $ 4,000   $ 2,958   $ 9,792   $ 9,073
   
 
 
 
*
Life and annuity contract charges in the amount of est. $229 million and $228 million for the three months ended September 30, 2003 and 2002, respectively and est. $692 million and $692 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2003 and 2002, respectively, which are also revenues recognized for GAAP, have been excluded from the table above, but are a component of the Consolidated Statements of Operations line item Life and annuity premiums and contract charges.

        New sales of financial products by Allstate exclusive agencies is an operating measure that we use to quantify the current year sales of financial products by the Allstate proprietary distribution channel. New sales of financial products by Allstate exclusive agencies includes annual premiums on new insurance policies, initial premiums and deposits on annuities, net new deposits in the Allstate Bank, sales of other company's mutual funds, and excludes renewal premiums. New sales of financial products by Allstate exclusive agencies for the nine months ended September 30, 2003 and 2002 totaled est. $1.22 billion and $1.15 billion, respectively.

        This press release contains forward-looking statements about our operating income for 2003. These statements are subject to the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and are based on management's estimates, assumptions and projections. Actual results may differ materially from those projected in the forward-looking statements for a variety of reasons. Projected weighted average rate changes in our Property-Liability business may be lower than projected due to a decrease in PIF. Loss costs in our Property-Liability business, including losses due to catastrophes such as hurricanes and earthquakes, may exceed management's projections. Competitive pressures could lead to sales of Property-Liability products, including private passenger auto and homeowners insurance, that are lower than we have projected, due to our increased prices and our modified underwriting practices. Investment income may not meet management's projections due to poor stock market performance or lower returns on the fixed income portfolio. Significantly lower interest rates and equity markets could increase deferred acquisition cost amortization, reduce contract charges, investment margins and the profitability of the Allstate Financial segment. We undertake no obligation to publicly correct or update any forward-looking statements. This press release contains unaudited financial information.

        The Allstate Corporation (NYSE: ALL) is the nation's largest publicly held personal lines insurer. Widely known through the "You're In Good Hands With Allstate®" slogan, Allstate provides insurance products to more than 16 million households and has approximately 12,300 exclusive agents and financial specialists in the U.S. and Canada. Customers can access Allstate products and services through Allstate agents, or in select states at allstate.com and 1-800-Allstate®. EncompassSM and Deerbrook® Insurance brand property and casualty products are sold exclusively through independent agents. Allstate Financial Group includes the businesses that provide life and supplemental insurance, retirement, banking and investment products through distribution channels that include Allstate agents, independent agents, and banks and securities firms.

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        We post an interim investor supplement on our web site. You can access it by going to allstate.com and clicking on "Investor Relations." From there, go to the "Quarterly Investor Info" button. We will post additional information to the supplement over the next 30 days as it becomes available.

  

Contact:

Michael Trevino
Media Relations
(847) 402-5600

Robert Block, Larry Moews, Phil Dorn
Investor Relations
(847) 402-2800

   
   
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